After a very long downward trend in the global dairy market, an upward trend was seen from April 2016 to September 2017. In the last few months following September, a downward trend has once again surfaced. The extent to which the prices of the different dairy products in the international market increased differs. The increase in the price of butter from the middle of 2016 to August 2017 was much higher than that of other types of dairy products, while the price of skimmed milk powder, a co-product of the manufacture of butter, remained much lower than that of other dairy products.
It appears that supply of and demand for dairy products in the international markets, with the exception of the supply of and demand for butter and skimmed milk powder, are at present fairly well balanced.
Global Dairy Trade
IFCN Milk Price Statistic
Five year’s butter price development (source GDT)
The surge in dairy fat prices, which has taken butter values to record highs on some markets, could spark a ”fundamental market change” for milk processors, co-operative giant Arla Foods said, forecasting a continued dairy market revival.
Peder Tuborgh, the Arla chief executive, termed the rally in values of milk fats as the ”key driver of positive developments in the global [dairy] market”, which has seen values at GlobalDairyTrade auctions, for instance, rebound by 70% over the past year.
Global Dairy Trade Butter Price
This GDT figure shows the butter price development during the past 12 months.
Court of Justice of the European Union’s verdict: Purely plant-based products cannot, in principle, be marketed with designations such as ‘milk’, ‘cream’, ‘butter’, ‘cheese’ or ‘yoghurt’, which are reserved by EU law for animal products.
In the judgment, the Court observes that, in principle, for the purposes of the marketing and advertising in question, the relevant legislation reserves the term ‘milk’ only for milk of animal origin. In addition, except where expressly provided, that legislation reserves designations like ‘cream’, ‘chantilly’, ‘butter’, ‘cheese’ and ‘yoghurt’ solely for milk products, that is products derived from milk.
Japan’s dairy industry is in crisis mode as the country’s top milk producing area falls behind in raw milk production.
Slammed by destructive typhoons last summer and facing fundamental challenges, dairy farms in Japan’s large northern island of Hokkaido are struggling, their problems affecting people throughout the country.
In the past few years, Japan has suffered occasional butter shortages, due largely to decreased milk production in dairy farms outside Hokkaido. These farms are generally smaller than their northern counterparts, and thus more susceptible to external forces that can affect production
Japan’s pricing structure for milk products can be blamed for this: Raw milk used for producing drinking milk is priced higher than milk used to make butter, cheese and other processed dairy products. As a result, a smaller portion of raw milk was allocated for butter.
There is hesitation in the market as the outlook for currency changes, production levels, and stocks fuels short-term volatility, according to the Rabobank Global Dairy Quarterly Q1 2017.
With butter prices continuing to trade at near-record levels, it’s tempting to talk of ‘market spreads’. ”The spread between the elevated butter prices and skimmed milk powder prices—which continue to fall—has never been bigger and continues to widen, although it’s nearing its climax.
The market will again look to the European Commission to support European SMP prices—and therefore global dairy prices—as it now seems all but certain that intervention buying will be needed again in 2017.
As the year progresses, Rabobank sees global butter prices remaining firm. They will be needed to maintain margins due to the persistent low value of skimmed milk, which is likely to remain weak, but stable, supported by limited stocks in Oceania and intervention buying in Europe. Cheese prices are also likely to remain stable, given the continued growth in export markets. WMP prices are also likely to remain stable for the rest of 2017, supported by limited suppliers and limited available stocks.
The international launch of Valio’s world-class premium artisan butter for consumers is in full swing and the new products are on show at the Gulfood Exhibition in Dubai, February 2017. Valio has over 112 years of experience producing butter and promoting its export. At the moment, Valio is selling butter in nearly 30 countries.
Dietary guidelines recommend avoiding foods high in saturated fat. Yet, emerging evidence suggests cardiometabolic benefits of dairy products and dairy fat. Evidence on the role of butter, with high saturated dairy fat content, for total mortality, cardiovascular disease, and type 2 diabetes remains unclear. The researchers aimed to systematically review and meta-analyze the association of butter consumption with all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes in general populations.
This systematic review and meta-analysis suggests relatively small or neutral overall associations of butter with mortality, CVD, and diabetes. These findings do not support a need for major emphasis in dietary guidelines on either increasing or decreasing butter consumption.
A couple of months ago Maria Håkansson och Patrik Johansson, the people behind Buttervikings, moved their artisan production of butter from Sweden to Isle of Wight. They are now up producing their butter again for restaurants.
The study by Sara Engel and Tine Tholstrup published in The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition concludes:
Moderate intake of butter resulted in increases in total cholesterol and LDL cholesterol compared with the effects of olive oil intake and a habitual diet (run-in period). Furthermore, moderate butter intake was also followed by an increase in HDL cholesterol compared with the habitual diet. We conclude that hypercholesterolemic people should keep their consumption of butter to a minimum, whereas moderate butter intake may be considered part of the diet in the normocholesterolemic population.